
Thursday, June 26th, 2025
We’ve been beating around the edges of humanoid robotics over the past few weeks, in this edition of Making Waves, specifically, and in last week’s MegaTrend look at warehouse automation more generally.
It’s a sector that’s catching increasing investor and business interest, meaning it’s high time we dedicated a weekly deep dive to the subject.
We’ll likely pivot away from automation and the like in next week’s edition and for the foreseeable future, since there are a lot of emergent trends to look at that are leaps and bounds different from our recent robotics emphasis.
We’ll let this edition stand as Small-Cap Supremacy’s final say on the matter (for now).

🤖 MegaTrend Monday: Humanoid Robotics
Last week, we looked at logistics automation, including some humanoid robotic applications, but the overarching theme defaulted to eComm and warehouse applications.
That’s only a tiny slice of the overall market opportunity for the emergent tech.
In the near term, humanoid robotics may look as simple as a mechanized “worker” loading and unloading freight cargo, but the long-term vision consists of embodied AI performing generalist roles like firefighting, nursing, and similar tasks.
The end state, as it were, is basically integrating human-like intelligence into a suitably flexible and adaptable physical framework to enhance productivity across logistics and beyond.
What’s Driving the Push Toward Humanoid Robotics
In a nutshell, the emergent sector is emerging as a new force in wide-ranging logistics automation, addressing operational inefficiencies and increasing the speed, scale, and scope of current business frameworks.
Labor shortages, with projections indicating that as many as 2.1 million manufacturing jobs will go unfilled by 2030, underscore a pressing need for automation efforts.
Meanwhile, artificial intelligence advancements, particularly Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models, enhance robotic adaptability.
Policy support, including the CHIPS Act’s $52 billion for technology hubs, indirectly bolsters robotics development, while global supply chain resilience efforts amplify adoption.
Ultimately, analysts project that the humanoid robotics market is set to grow at 15% CAGR, reaching $87 billion by 2027.

Mechanisms Behind the Machine
Humanoid robotics relies on three core functions: perception, cognition, and manipulation.
These functions integrate to create versatile systems adaptable to a growing number of applications:
Perception uses sensors like cameras and lidar to map environments and identify objects for navigation.
Cognition leverages AI, particularly Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models, to process data and make real-time decisions for tasks like sorting or loading.
Manipulation involves actuators and grippers to handle diverse items with human-like dexterity, with degrees of freedom (DoF) rapidly approaching human hands’ 27 DoF.
Together, these enable robots to adapt across logistics tasks, from ports to manufacturing.
The Raw Metals Making it All Possible
Of course, all these niche, core functions rely on a handful of upstream supplies.
Building, deploying, operating, and maintaining humanoid robots demands a range of specific raw materials critical to functionality, like rare-earth elements (neodymium and praseodymium, specifically), which are essential for manufacturing the powerful magnets used in the robots’ motors and actuators.
Likewise, more well-known materials like lithium and cobalt are primary components of the batteries that power these robots, while silicon-based semiconductors form the backbone of their electronic systems.
As the demand for humanoid robots grows, so does the need for these key raw materials, making the companies that supply them key lynchpins to long-term growth (and major risk factors as trade agreements keep evolving).
Risks of Humanoid Robotic Investment
As with any emergent tech, consider key risks before going “full bull” on humanoid robotics in logistics automation:
High R&D expenditures, especially for small-cap innovators, create a hefty financial burden that could be devastating when coupled with commercialization delays.
Regulatory challenges, including safety standards and labor laws, may impede deployment, particularly in transportation sectors, and increase compliance costs.
Supply chain vulnerabilities, with rare-earth metals and lithium concentrated in China and elsewhere, introduce price volatility and access issues if trade partners enact export embargoes.
Environmental concerns surrounding mining and manufacturing processes could lead to stricter regulations, potentially impacting production timelines.
Finally (but by no means the final word), a reliance on unproven VLA technology carries execution risks.

How to Play Humanoid Robotics
❌ Avoid large-cap industrials like Rockwell Automation or Honeywell, which grow slowly due to broad portfolios.
Next-gen, nascent tech like this demands an “all-in,” specialized and niche operational approach that large-scale companies simply can’t offer.
Even Tesla, the current humanoid robotics leader (from a PR perspective), is spread a bit too thin across other endeavors if you’re angling for pure-play upside.
✅ Back small-cap disruptors offering high growth as logistics evolves, while keeping pick-and-shovel stocks in mind as the industry’s need for raw materials develops.

Manipulation: Nauticus Robotics $KITT ( ▼ 4.85% )
Nauticus Robotics, with a ~$35 million market cap, develops electric manipulators and subsea robots, primarily for oceangoing and aquaculture applications. Though its current model focuses on seafaring applications, the demanding conditions and hardware precision required create potential carryover to land-faring logistics manipulation tasks.
Recent developments:
Advanced electric manipulator integration with Aquanaut in Q1 2025, enhancing subsea dexterity for potential land applications.
Completed a strategic collaboration with Open Ocean Robotics in June 2025 to improve manipulation efficiency, signaling broader adaptability.
Expanded manipulator deployment contracts in March 2025, driven by offshore demand.
Nauticus offers growth potential as its ocean-honed precision translates to land logistics, though scalability from subsea to terrestrial environments remains unproven and poses risks.
Honorable Mention: Ekso Bionics $EKSO ( ▼ 2.03% ) – Ekso designs exoskeleton robots with manipulation features for industrial logistics, with upside in material handling, but regulatory approvals are pending.
Cognition: Palladyne AI $PDYN ( ▲ 4.44% )
Palladyne AI, with a ~$298 million market cap, is a software company focused on enhancing the utility and functionality of third-party stationary and mobile robotic systems across the United States, uniquely reducing the need for constant training data feed updates by creating self-reinforcing machine learning cybernetic loops.
Its AI and Machine Learning Foundational Technology enables robots to observe, learn, reason, and act in structured and unstructured environments, with dynamic real-time operations reducing the need for extensive programming or cloud latency.
Recent developments:
Launched Palladyne IQ in February 2025, enabling industrial robots and cobots to learn multiple tasks and adapt to disruptions, per company announcements.
Partnered with small-cap done stock Red Cat Holdings to integrate Palladyne Pilot with UAVs for surveillance, enhancing situational awareness, alongside recent funding increases from existing U.S. Air Force experimental contracts.
More than doubled quarter-over-quarter revenue in Q1 2025, driven by industrial and defense contracts.
Palladyne offers growth potential in AI-driven robotics, leveraging its rebranding from Sarcos Technology (while retaining its robotic exoskeleton IP portfolio), though competition and integration challenges could impact progress.
Honorable Mention: QuickLogic $QUIK ( ▼ 4.47% ) – QuickLogic develops FPGA solutions for AI in robotics. Its niche tech offers upside, but adoption lags are a concern.
Pick-and-Shovels: Energy Fuels $UUUU ( ▲ 1.38% )
Energy Fuels, with a ~$1.25 billion market cap, mines rare-earth metals like neodymium and praseodymium as a periphery to its core uranium mining operations (which gives exposure to nuclear energy, another red-hot sector).
Better yet, it's White Mesa Mill in Utah supports U.S.-based supply chains in an era of increasingly shaky supply lines from China's rare earth metals production.
Recent developments:
In Q1 2025, Energy Fuels reported a 15% increase in rare-earth production, meeting robotics demand.
Has a longstanding partnership with Neo Performance Materials (an industrial material supplier) for rare earth metal supply, increasing exposure to robotics’ supply chain.
Expanded processing facilities in reaction to on-shore initiatives and tariffs to double output by 2027.
Energy Fuels is positioned to benefit from robotics growth, though commodity price volatility and environmental concerns pose risks.
Honorable Mention: MP Materials $MP ( ▼ 0.27% ) – MP Materials produces rare-earth metals in California, supplying neodymium for robotics. Its growth is tied to on-shoring, but market fluctuations challenge stability.

💡 Extra Credit: 3 Stocks to Study
If that didn’t whet your appetite, check out these additional picks for more:
Knightscope $KSCP ( ▼ 3.16% ) – Knightscope develops autonomous security robots. Its growth potential is tied to demand, but low revenue limits upside.
Richtech Robotics $RR ( ▼ 2.67% ) - Designs AI-powered service robots, offering upside from growing automation demand, but faces risks from limited market penetration.
Luminar Technologies $LAZR ( ▼ 3.82% ) – Luminar provides lidar for robotics, enabling navigation in logistics settings. Its niche offers growth, but competition and costs are challenges.
That’s a wrap for this edition of Small-Cap Supremacy. Thanks for your support! We hope you’re armed with fresh ideas to tackle the small-cap market.
Got thoughts or hot tips? Reach out, we love hearing from you!
Stay sharp, and we’ll see you next time!
Disclosure: Long TSLA